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Forecasting Economic Time Series
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Forecasting Economic Time Series

699 kr

699 kr

Tidligere laveste pris:

713 kr

På lager

Ma., 16 juni - fr., 20 juni


Sikker betaling

14 dagers åpent kjøp


Selges og leveres av

Adlibris


Produktbeskrivelse

This book provides a formal analysis of the models, procedures, and measures of economic forecasting with a view to improving forecasting practice. David Hendry and Michael Clements base the analyses on assumptions pertinent to the economies to be forecast, viz. a non-constant, evolving economic system, and econometric models whose form and structure are unknown a priori. The authors find that conclusions which can be established formally for constant-parameter stationary processes and correctly-specified models often do not hold when unrealistic assumptions are relaxed. Despite the difficulty of proceeding formally when models are mis-specified in unknown ways for non-stationary processes that are subject to structural breaks, Hendry and Clements show that significant insights can be gleaned. For example, a formal taxonomy of forecasting errors can be developed, the role of causal information clarified, intercept corrections re-established as a method for achieving robustness against forms of structural change, and measures of forecast accuracy re-interpreted.

Artikkel nr.

d812ba5f-212b-5293-9e18-411c4968bbf1

Forecasting Economic Time Series

699 kr

699 kr

Tidligere laveste pris:

713 kr

På lager

Ma., 16 juni - fr., 20 juni


Sikker betaling

14 dagers åpent kjøp


Selges og leveres av

Adlibris